Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Israel doubles Iran war casualty estimate

A couple of weeks ago Ehud Barak's office floated the egregiously imbecilic estimate of 200 Israeli casualties in the event of war with Iran; 300 in the event Hezbollah were to be involved.

Yesterday outgoing Minister for Homeland Defense Major General Matan Vilnai  gave an interview to Reuters in which he opined that a war with Iran could last thirty days, involve a couple hundred missiles per day striking Israeli cities, and result in up to 500 casualties.

What are these people smoking? Are such assumptions based on the track record of the home-built Qassams in-coming from Gaza? They must be! It is inconceivable that hundreds of missiles can land for thirty days on end and incurr only a few hundred victims.

It is obvious what game is afoot here. It's all about reassuring the public that an attack on Iran is not such a bad thing. Besides, there's a good swath of the younger public who need a spot of war to divert themselves from their social protests.

Vilnai has accepted a diplomatic posting to Beijing, from where he will at least survive to reflect on the error of his estimates.

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